Taree Race 7 Preview: Tips, Rated Prices And The Pace Story
Taree Race 7 preview: a very fast tempo at 86.69% pressure, Kingsley's top four, rated prices against the market, and the metric standouts.
A $100,000 mile at Taree with a very fast tempo projection and a true rail. The pressure reading is what shapes this race, and it points away from the speed.
The race
Taree Race 7 jumps at 4:50pm AEDT on 16 October 2026, a $100,000 contest over 1600m with 12 runners, drizzle about and the surface rated G with the rail in the True position. Weights spread from Sosino's 59.5kg down to a cluster of 54kg lightweights, and the card is free to view fully rated on theking.zone today.
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The pace picture
The tempo band is Very Fast with a pressure reading of 86.69 per cent, which is about as forward-pressing a shape as you will see over a mile. Danish Fortune (12) has a ppir of 1 — the lowest predicted in-running figure in the field — and maps to lead from barrier one. Spicy Lu (2) sits next closest at a ppir of 2 and will be rolling forward from gate seven, with Sosino (1) at 3 and Casino Bear (8) at 4 also mapping to race handy.
That is four horses wanting the same real estate, and the knock-on is obvious: the back half of the field gets the race run for it. Montpellier (3) has a ppir of 11 and He's A Copy Boy (14) a ppir of 12, so these are the runners whose patterns are flattered by the projected speed rather than punished by it. For Sosino, the pace is the one wrinkle — he is handy enough to cop the brunt of it while carrying the topweight.
Kingsley's selections
His top pick is Montpellier (3), rated $7.00 against a $5.00 market this morning — Kingsley reads the market as having the price about right rather than wrong. The case is simple: he got well back at Dubbo and still ran on strongly through the line, and from a ppir of 11 the predicted pressure is exactly the setup he wants. Kingsley also credits him with the best finishing speed in the field on his own numbers, and the acceleration ranking has him second.
His second pick Sosino (1) is rated $7.50 against a $6.00 market. He is fitter for the first-up run and arrives at the right stage, with two wins from five second-up, and Bullock is a clear upgrade in the saddle. The 59.5kg and the forward map are the qualifications.
His third pick Imatruestar (9) is rated $12.00 against an $11.00 market. The weight drop is the hook — from 61.5kg to 54kg — allied to a genuine late burst and a strong local record of 11 starts at Taree for a win and three seconds. It has been a long time between wins, but the profile fits.
His fourth pick Creative Righteous (11) is rated $13.00 against an $11.00 market. He backs up in seven days and drops back from 2000m, and having hit the front briefly last start before tiring, the ratings suggest he would prefer more ground than this.
There are no official Golden Bullet or Good Roughie tips in this race. Worth noting elsewhere: Fierceness (4) is rated $4.60 against a $3.60 market, and Kingsley is happy to take him on with a CSW figure that sits below the main players.
Got well back at Dubbo and still ran on hard through the line, and the pressure predicted here is exactly what he's after. Best finishing speed in the field on my numbers and he holds a class edge on ratings. Does need the race run to suit from midfield back, but there's upside in him yet. Top pick, market has the price about right.
Fitter for the first-up run and he's 2 wins from 5 second-up, so he's at the right stage. Bullock is a genuine upgrade in the saddle and the ratings give him a class edge over most of these. Only knock is the 59.5kg rise and he's handy enough to cop the brunt of what shapes as a hot speed. Second pick.
Big weight drop from 61.5kg to 54kg and he's got a serious turn of foot late. Local horse too, 11 starts here for a win and 3 seconds. Been a long while between drinks, but he can run into this. Third pick.
Backs up in 7 days and comes back in trip from 2000m. Hit the front briefly last start then tired, and the ratings say he'd rather more ground than this. Fourth pick.
Selections like these go up for every AU meeting, every race day.
Get today — $50The metrics
CAM is the composite ability rating, and Lensman (13) tops it at 90.2386 with Montpellier second on 88.3828. CSW is the class-speed-weight time rating, and there I've Bean Tryin' (7) leads on 89.79 from Sosino on 89.58 and Spicy Lu on 89.49 — though I've Bean Tryin' is eight now, backing up in seven days and maps to settle a long way back on a ppir of 8.
Cruising speed measures the tempo a horse can sustain, and Spicy Lu ranks first at 92.4 from Danish Fortune on 91.6 and Casino Bear on 89.6 — the three fastest cruisers are also three of the four most forward runners, which is how a pressure reading of 86.69 per cent gets built. Acceleration measures the finishing burst: Lensman ranks first at 95.632, Montpellier second at 94.8707, Imatruestar third at 92.4743. Lensman's CSW of 81.43 ranks tenth of 12, which is why the top CAM and acceleration figures do not translate into a selection.
Watch the first 400m: if Danish Fortune, Spicy Lu and Casino Bear all go, the closers take over.
Pre-race analysis, published before the jump. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
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